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The black swan : the impact of the highly improbable / Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Main Author Taleb, Nassim Nicholas, 1960- Language Inglês. Country Reino Unido. Edition 2nd ed. Publication London : Penguin, cop. 2010 Description XXXIII, 444 p. : il. ; 21 cm ISBN 9780812973815 Abstract The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. 'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ... I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' Will Self, Independent on Sunday 'He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin, Independent Topical name Narrative fallacy
Robust society
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Item type Current location Call number Status Date due Barcode
Electronic Resource/Recurso electrónico NOVA IMS
EBOOK Online 0079352020
Book/Livro NOVA IMS
Q375TAL/A Available 0067432016
Book/Livro NOVA IMS
Q375TAL/B Available 0067442016

The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty

What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper?

This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.

'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ... I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' Will Self, Independent on Sunday

'He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin, Independent

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